Posted by FleshPresser at 11:01 PM /
Monday, March 24, 2008
Posted by FleshPresser at 12:25 AM /
...by none other than Mr. Colbert himself. And why, might you ask? Because I've been doing a lousy job at keeping this blog updated.
I'm sorry, Stephen. I promise to try and do better in the days and weeks to come.
Thursday, March 13, 2008
Posted by FleshPresser at 5:04 PM /
I have been incredibly busy as of late, and my blogging has obviously suffered.
It has obviously suffered at a time when I have MORE to say than ever before.
That's why I LOVE to watch Keith Olbermann take the words right out of my mouth.
Wednesday, February 06, 2008
Labels: 2008, Blog The Vote, caucus, Clinton, Democrat, election, Obama
Posted by FleshPresser at 12:06 AM /
LIVE BLOGGING - A Little Past Super Tuesday
Thus far (as of midnight), here's how the states have gone:BARACK OBAMA:
What does all of this mean? Well, a few things. Honestly, I don't see how anyone could honestly say that Clinton comes out of Super Tuesday with the "winning momentum." Simply by not being defeated by Obama, the Clinton campaign has declared the day a "win."
Alabama - 56% - 42%
Alaska - 72% - 27%
Colorado - 66% - 33%
Connecticut - 50% - 47%
Delaware - 53% - 42%
Georgia - 65% - 32%
Idaho - 81% - 15%
Illinois - 64% - 33%
Kansas - 73% - 27%
Minnesota - 67% - 32%
Missouri - 49% - 48%
North Dakota - 61% - 37%
Utah - 54% - 40%
HILLARY CLINTON:
Arizona - 50% - 41%
Arkansas - 72% - 23%
California - 55% - 33%
Massachusetts - 56% - 41%
New York - 57% - 40%
New Jersey - 54% - 44%
Oklahoma - 55% - 31%
Tennessee - 54% - 41%
I imagined that California would be closer that it appears right now, but I also imagine that the end numbers will tighten up significantly prior to the final tally. It's also important to note that the Clinton win is not surprising, given that there was a SIGNIFICANT amount of early votes in the state - votes cast prior to the latest Obama surge.
Clinton won Arkansas and New York (the benefit of having two "home states"), but with the exception of her "prior home state" of Arkansas, she never rises higher than the mid-50s, meaning that in a system where proportional assignment of delegates takes place, Obama remained close, and will receive significant piles of delegates in each of these states.
Meanwhile, look at some of the numbers for Obama... 66% in Colorado... 73% in Kansas... 81% in Idaho. In a lot of the states where Obama won, he claimed victory by significant margins.
Think about this, as well. A few weeks ago, the Clinton camp never even dreamed that her closest competition would be this close. Moving forward, Obama is going to have a SIGNIFICANT advantage in the money race moving forward. In a Super Tuesday-style primary, the candidate with a "national name" always maintains an advantage in trying to cover all of the states across the country in a matter of days.
Now, the race shifts. The primary season moves back to a series of smaller primaries, which will absolutely favor Obama. In addition, the upcoming primaries will all favor Obama in the next three to four weeks.
Clinton did not win tonight. Simply by listening to the pundits talk about the wins in California and New York as "news" is significant to the Obama campaign. At this point, I would be VERY concerned if I was in the Clinton campaign.
Obama has won states throughout the United States - from Alaska to Delaware, from Minnesota to Georgia. And simply by looking at the number of states won by Obama versus Clinton, there's no question that CHANGE is on the way!
Tuesday, February 05, 2008
Labels: 2008, Blog The Vote, Clinton, Democrat, Obama
Posted by FleshPresser at 6:35 PM /
So, I've been in rehearsal for a show right now, which is why I've failed to follow up here on Barack Obama's stunning win in South Carolina, the seemingly odd timing of John Edwards' departure from the race, or any number of stories that have come and gone since then.
I have yet to even officially write my activist endorsement of Barack Obama yet, but it WILL be forthcoming.
I even have a strange scenario floating around in my head right now, which remains consistent with polls as they stand right now, which sees Barack Obama clinching the nomination tonight.... OK, so it's a bit far-fetched... but so was the New York Giants upset over the New England Patriots, right? And given the results of New Hampshire, anything is possible these days.
Briefly, the scenario involves Obama winning California, taking at least 40% of the vote in New York, taking his home state of Illinois, winning Massachusetts (not terribly difficult to imagine given endorsements by Kerry and the Kennedy clan), making at least a strong showing in New Jersey and Connecticut, and winning BIG in states like Georgia.
I'll go into more detail about this later.... the real point of this post is to let you know that I'll be LiveBlogging results tonight - probably some time after 10:00PM Eastern.
So, hang with Keith and Chris until then, and I'll see you later tonight!
Friday, January 25, 2008
Labels: 2008, Blog The Vote, Clinton, Democrat, Obama
Posted by FleshPresser at 4:52 PM /
This is one of the funnier political videos I've seen in a while, and I thought I'd share...
Labels: 2008, Blog The Vote, Clinton, Democrat, election, Obama
Posted by FleshPresser at 4:02 PM /
Obama Leads Going Into South Carolina Primary...
Despite all of the negative campaigning and attacks from the Clinton campaign over the last several days (or maybe because of them), Barack Obama is maintaining a 13 point lead over Clinton as tomorrow's South Carolina Democratic primary approaches.
What's even more exciting to me is that John Edwards' support is slowly creeping up, with indications that a second place finish would be possible for him tomorrow. I think that it would serve as a strong message for Clinton to be repaid with a third place finish for way the campaign has conducted themselves in recent days.
I'd love to reprint the entire endorsement from South Carolina's newspaper, The State, but I'll just share a brief portion of it, and you can read the rest of it on their website: The restoration of the Clintons to the White House would trigger a new wave of all-out political warfare....Hillary Clinton doesn’t pretend that it won’t happen; she simply vows to persevere, in the hope that her side can win....
Sen. Obama’s campaign is an argument for a more unifying style of leadership. In a time of great partisanship, he is careful to talk about winning over independents and even Republicans. He is harsh on the failures of the current administration - and most of that critique well-deserved. But he doesn’t use his considerable rhetorical gifts to demonize Republicans. He’s not neglecting his core values; he defends his progressive vision with vigorous integrity. But for him, American unity - transcending party - is a core value in itself.
Sen. Obama would also have the best chance to repair the damage to America’s global reputation.... Sen. Obama is the only Democrat who plausibly can say that he wants to work with Americans across the political spectrum to address such subjects - and he has the integrity and the skills of persuasion that make him the best-qualified among the remaining Democratic hopefuls to address these challenges.
He would be a groundbreaking nominee. More to the point, he makes a solid case that he is ready to lead the whole country. We see Sen. Barack Obama as the best choice in Saturday’s Democratic primary.
Labels: 2008, Blog The Vote, Clinton, election, Obama
Posted by FleshPresser at 10:24 AM /
During the last Democratic debate in South Carolina, Hillary Clinton accused Barack Obama of aiding Tony Rezko "...when you were practicing law and representing your contributor ... in his slum landlord business in inner city Chicago." Although many various sources have indicated that Obama never DIRECTLY represented Rezko, the Clinton camp continues to pound at the issue, feeding it to the media.
Well, as is typically proven, that kharma is a bitch. Today, photos surface of Tony Rezko with the Clintons.
While Clinton denies knowing Rezko, it is plain and obvious that he at least had access to the Clinton White House.
I wonder if we'll see a picture of Obama and Norman Hsu appear? Somehow, I'm thinking not.
Tuesday, January 22, 2008
Posted by FleshPresser at 6:47 PM /
Thompson Drops From The Ledger... and Ledger Just Drops...
So, Fred Thompson dropped out of the race for President today. If he hadn't announced it, I'm not sure that anyone would have noticed.
And Heath Ledger died today, found naked in an apartment with pills around him. One of my students mentioned that they heard he was found in Mary-Kate Olson's apartment.
If I was found naked in an Olson twins' apartment, I think I'd take the same path as Heath.
